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2022 Quarterback Rankings

Training Camp is over, Preseason is nearing its conclusion, roster cuts are being sorted out, and regular season NFL Football is staring us straight in the face. While we wait, TRO is here to move things along by ranking all 32 starting quarterbacks from worst to best.

Everyone's favorite discussion. Who's the best quarterback in the League? Who are the top 10 quarterbacks? Which quarterbacks are near the bottom of the barrel? How do the young, unproven quarterbacks stack up against the seasoned vets? TRO is here to try to rank each team's starting quarterback from 32nd, all the way up to 1st. Keep in mind, you can win a lot of games with a top 16-20 quarterback, and the young guys will have every opportunity in the world to shoot up this list before the season is over.

Lastly, if you're still unhappy with your quarterback's rank, maybe your team did better in TRO's projected final division standings:



via Jennifer Buchanan / The Seattle Times

Geno Smith is entering his ninth year in the League. At this point, we know what he is, and that is a career backup. A decent career backup, but a backup nonetheless. He has a career quarterback rating of 75, and has thrown three more interceptions than touchdowns. He can be serviceable for a few games, but will likely get torn apart facing a full season, especially with Seattle's roster concerns. Pete Carrol says Smith has been winning the quarterback battle all offseason, and is still penciled in as the starter, but Drew Lock at least has the potential for some greater upside given his youth.

If Lock manages to steal the job from Geno, is it possible that a change of scenery and stability at head coach will be enough to help him turn his young career around? Sure, but we're not going to bank on it. We weren't very high on Lock coming out of college. He just hasn't shown enough flashes, and he has been wildly erratic in his play since he has entered the League. Frankly, given the fact that he's struggled to hang with Geno in camp does not bode well for his chances of longterm success. He had good weapons in Denver, and he'll have good weapons in Seattle. The difference this year is that he might be behind a rough offensive line, and will have a bottom-half ranked defense. If he sees the field, Lock will likely have to play from behind a lot, with limited protection, and we don't think that will be a recipe for success.


via Jae C. Hong / Associated Press

Davis Mills was the pleasant surprise of the 2021 NFL Draft. The Texans picked him up in the third round to send a prayer up and fill a QB room with Deshaun Watson planning on sitting out a full season. Mills exceeded everyone's expectations, probably including Houston's front office. While he looked competent at times, there were other times he looked like the unheard of third round draft pick in a big-named quarterback draft class.

This will be a year for Houston to evaluate what they have in Mills, while the incoming 2023 Draft class appears to be chop full of potential franchise quarterbacks. We do not think Mills is exactly set up for success, nor do we think he is equipped with the tools to perform at a much higher level than he did last year.


via Philip G. Pavely / USA TODAY Sports

Mitchell Trubisky is an interesting quarterback. He's a very good athlete, and has upside in his ability to move the chains with carrying the ball. He put together a good second year in Chicago, and managed to maintain acceptable (but underwhelming) statistics the remaining years he spent in the Windy City. Mitch's biggest knock on his game comes from how high the Bears went up to draft him, and the quarterbacks he was taken over. While he can't control that, he can control his current situation, which is playing for a team with a history of winning and a pretty solid roster, especially on the defensive side of the ball.

There are a bunch limitations to Mitch's game, and we still think we will see much more of Kenny Pickett as the year unfolds, which is why he's ranked down near the bottom. He has a hard time finding the endzone, and tends to be erratic with a number of his throws. Every now and then he will just sail an easy one. Mitch could turn things around in Pittsburgh, but it seems unlikely given the pro-style play and accuracy of Pickett who will be inserted as soon as the fans get antsy.


via Yahoo Sports

To us, Marcus Mariota is like a more refined Trubisky. A good athlete with some passing limitations that are keeping him from being a franchise guy. The thing Mariota has over Trubisky is a more accurate arm, he has won three playoff games (played in six), and he has maintained a higher quarterback rating throughout his career. Marcus won't be the answer in Atlanta, but he will be a nice stop-gap for them to give Desmond Ridder a chance to develop.


via GiantsWire / USA Today

We have not been high on Daniel Jones, even back when he was in college at Duke. A quarterback that does not really WOW in the ACC Coastal, typically does not evolve into a franchise NFL quarterback. Jones has some upside as he has great speed and impressive athleticism, but he is a turnover machine. He averages 1.29 turnovers per game, and had a streak of twenty-something straight games committing a turnover. Jones will make some throws and show stretches of consistency that will fool people into thinking he has turned the page (which is why he has such a large pool of supporters), but his mistakes seem repetitive. This will be a do or die year for him if he wants to sustain a career as a starting quarterback in this League; so, maybe he will make us eat crow, but for now he has not given us much to work with.


via Raj Mehta / USA TODAY Sports

Jared Goff almost had it all. He came up short in Super Bowl LIII, and the next thing he knows he's a part of the rebuilding process in Detroit. He has some severe limitations in the mobility department, as he is seemingly the last of a dying breed in statue-style quarterbacks. Goff is a true professional and a capable pocket passer, when everything is going perfectly. Unfortunately for him, today's NFL involves a lot of going off script. Goff will always be an OK player, but one that teams are always looking to upgrade from.


via Matt Rourke / Associated Press

It was tough to assign Zach Wilson a spot in these rankings. He has unreal traits that can't be coached. He has unique mobility, and the ability to sling the ball a million yards down field on a rope while on the run. He also has the tendency to commit some of the worst turnovers you'll see. We do think things will get cleaned up as he grows, and as the Jets continue to get cleaned up. Wilson didn't exactly inherit the greatest situation in the world, but if he wants to be a franchise quarterback in this League, he will have to make it work. We like his upside, it is higher than anyone ranked below him on this list, but until he proves that he can stay on the field and keep the ball away from the other team, we can't put him much higher.


via SportingNews

We like Justin Fields, probably better than most. Last year he was given a raw deal, mind-bogglingly having to wait to play behind Andy Dalton, and then when he did get to play it was for an entire Bears' front office and coaching staff with one foot already out the door. Now, Fields gets a full offseason and season as "the guy." He gets a new coach, with an offensive system built to his strengths, and a new front office to try to build around him.

The problem is, Fields will have to endure this year almost on his own. He'll have to learn on the fly and develop without much help. There simply are not the players in Chicago, yet, to help Fields elevate his game. He's a smart player, a quick learner, and a tremendous athlete. Every game or two, he will make that play that'll leave you borderline speechless. All that being said, he still has very little help, and he made a lot of rookie mistakes. We think we'll endure one more year of Fields with subpar numbers, and then next year will be a true measuring stick to evaluate him as a young QB.


via Jose Carlos Fajardo / Bay Area News Group

Putting Trey Lance on this list is like throwing darts at a dartboard, blindfolded. Aside from two starts last year, no one has seen Lance play a full football season since 2019, thanks to COVID cutting his season short in 2020, and him sitting behind Jimmy Garoppolo all of last year.

Lance will inherit the keys to a team that is well-coached, stout on defense, can run the football, and has a top-notch offensive line and explosive playmakers. He's in the best situation out of all of the quarterbacks in his class. We're sure there will be growing pains with Lance, but San Francisco was ready to part ways with Jimmy G this year, announcing Lance as the starter with Jimmy still on the roster, despite recent success with their former QB.

That can't mean nothing. Lance should at the very least be decent, with a high ceiling. We think he'll climb up this list by this time next year.


via Yahoo Sports

If you just look at Carson Wentz's raw numbers: yards, touchdowns, and interceptions, you would think we have him too low on this list. There are tons of teams who would kill for their quarterback to throw for 3,500 yards, 27 touchdowns, and only 7 interceptions. That's what Wentz did in his only year in Indianapolis, but something about Wentz left the Colts publicly searching for his replacement without a clear fall-back plan in place. Before that, something about Wentz left the Eagles eager to draft and play Jalen Hurts with Wentz not too far removed from his MVP-like season.

That something is not nothing. Wentz struggles at the strangest times. His game against the Jaguars in Week 18 of last year, which kept the Colts from the playoffs, was inexcusable. He just misses some throws that will have you questioning what you just saw. He's the only quarterback that can post efficient numbers, but still drag a franchise down. It's honestly just flat out unusual.

All that being said, Wentz is still a good athlete, and capable of putting together competent football from time to time. It made sense for Washington to nab him, as he will be an upgrade over their entire quarterback room from a year ago.


via SharpFootballAnalysis

Be careful what you say about Tua Tagovailoa on the internet. Tuanon and Dolphins fans will come after you, and they will not stop. We think the 22 spot is fair for Tua, at this point in his career. He's another QB facing a do or die season. There are no excuses going into 2022. The Dolphins have all of the weapons on offense, and a defense well put together enough to sustain success.

Tua is a safe quarterback. He's accurate underneath and in the middle of the field. As a lefty, he naturally has a tougher time playing quarterback. The ball spins out of his hand differently, at a different trajectory than most receivers are used to and his blind side is flipped. Tua has overcome these characteristics and turned into a precise thrower of the football, and he has above-average athleticism. We won't say he can't throw the ball deep, but I think we can all agree that it is not a strength in his game.

If Tua can show that he can elevate to his team to win games because of him, he can silence a lot of critics and climb up this list.


via Inquirer

Similar to the Dolphins with Tua, the Eagles have gone all in on putting a complete team together around Jalen Hurts to find out if he really is the long-term answer at the most important position in sports.

Hurts' upside is his mobility. He's unstoppable as a rusher, especially in the redzone. He has a relatively big arm and doesn't lack in confidence. The only thing that keeps Jalen from climbing up these rankings is his accuracy. His precision varies throw by throw, and its negatively affected his completion percentage and touchdown numbers.

The good thing about Hurts is that he has seemed to improve each season, and we think he (and the Eagles) will take another step forward this year, building off of last season's Wild Card berth.


via Michael Dwyer / AP Photo

We think people are too high on Mac Jones (see the NFL's Top 100 rankings for 2022), but we can't deny the fact that he's pretty decent. Jones was drafted into the best situation for his class. We think if he ended up on the Jets, Bears, or Jaguars, like his counterparts, he would be near the bottom of this list. He doesn't have the tools and abilities to elevate a team with poor offensive line play and no run game.

What Jones does have is an intelligent understanding of the game, above-average accuracy/ball placement, and confidence in his decision making. He is not an elite athlete, and he does not have the greatest arm strength. We think he's a great fit for the Patriots, but this year might be a bigger test for him than his rookie season.

Jones is an average quarterback, which is a good thing. However, we don't think his ceiling is far away, and there's room for the other young quarterbacks in his class to outpace him.


via FantasySP

Look, Trevor Lawrence made it through a rookie season with the Urban Meyer circus. I mean, what an absolute terrible hire by Jacksonville. Lawrence would have had a much better season if he played under literally anyone else. That being said, when T-Law flashed last year, he really flashed. We think if he was the one on the Patriots, he would have had an unreal rookie season. Such are the pains that come with being so good that you are taken #1 overall.

He's athletic, he's mobile, he's smart, he has a cannon of an arm, and he can make all of the throws. Lawrence has more weapons, a better understanding of the NFL, and is playing for a good, offensive-minded coach in Doug Pederson this Season. Don't let the hype from a year ago fade away, this is going to be a good year for Sunshine.


via Derick E. Hingle / USA TODAY Sports

What do you do with a quarterback who is capable of throwing for 5,000 yards and 30+ touchdowns, but also can, and will, throw 30+ interceptions. Jameis Winston is an enigma. After 5 years into his NFL career, he realized he needed Lasik surgery, which is honestly impressive.

After the surgery, and after a year on the bench, and an offseason with first team reps, under Sean Payton and the Saints' offense, Winston looked revitalized. Before suffering his knee injury last year, he threw 14 touchdowns to only 3 interceptions.

The Saints lost Payton, but now have more receiving weapons than they have had in some time. Despite his improved numbers, Winston still proved to be a bit erratic with the ball, notching his lowest completion percentage of his career since his rookie season.

Winston is a true middle of the road quarterback. He'll wow you and make you scratch your head all in the same game.


via Geoff Burke / USA Today Sports

Baker was not great in 2021, but you have to cut him slack given the fact that he played almost the entire season with a torn shoulder labrum. People like to point out that it wasn't in his throwing shoulder, but the only reason that is significant is because it means it won't have any long-term effects on his throwing strength. However, it had every effect on his short-term abilities.

Try throwing a football with one arm. Baker had to completely alter his throwing motion last year, all while battling the pain on the left side of his body. This year, healthy, motivated, and blessed with a change of scenery with the best weapons he's had in his career. Look for Baker to look a lot more like 2020 and before Mayfield.

That version of Baker is a gunslinger, with a tremendous deep ball, the ability to extend the pocket with his legs, and borderline great ball placement.

Being a gunslinger is a double-edged sword. Baker's strength, his confidence and ability to push the ball downfield/into tight windows, is also his biggest weakness. This mentality leads to more interceptions, which as always been a knock on Baker's game.

That being said, Baker will prove to be a competent, average NFL QB, with some impressive upside, which is what the Panthers have been desperately been missing since 2017/early 2018.


via AP Photo / Wade Payne

Ryan Tannehill is another good, not great quarterback. He doesn't quite have the downfield ball Baker does, but he's more efficient, and a better runner with the ball. Tannehill does a good job of letting the game come to him and keeping his interception total low (except in the 2022 Divisional Round against the Bengals).

There's not much to say about Tannehill. He's good enough to get you there, especially if you have a good run game, but at 34 years old, he's reached his peak, and his number of productive seasons as the Titans' starter are numbered, especially with Malik Willis nipping at his heels.


via Yahoo Sports

Matt Ryan can still get it done. He likely won't win another MVP, but he still is a good quarterback, who has fallen into a great situation in Indianapolis. A true pocket passer, Ryan has next to no mobility, but he's a gritty thrower, capable of getting a number of targets involved every game. He puts up big yardage totals, puts the ball exactly where he intends to, and has the experience to lead an offense.

He's on the back nine of his career, and there will be continue to be some drop off with each passing season, but that drop off is coming from a high place.


via SportingNews

The only true knock on Kyler Murray is his ability to sustain elite performances for a full season. For the first two-thirds of the year, Murray looks like a tier-1 MVP candidate. He's one of the most mobile QBs in the League, he has a big arm, and he just flat out makes plays.

For Kyler to climb into or closer to the top 10, he's going to have to elevate his team to some late season/post season success. We know wins are not a QB stat, but if you watch the tape, Kyler's individual performance has been the one lacking at these points in the season.


via USA Today

Derek Carr deserves some sort of medal, trophy, corporate holiday, or at least a pat on the back for what he did last year. The Raiders dealt with the most off the field drama in the League between Jon Gruden, Henry Ruggs, III, and just a mountain of other distractions. Carr was not only the perfect leader off the field, but he also he threw for 4,800 yards and 23 touchdowns on the field, as he willed his team to a Wild Card berth.

Carr has put together a very good career. He's a prototypical fringe, top 10 quarterback, who can make all of the throws. He just needs to improve in sustaining consistency through all four quarters, putting together more complete football games. If that happens, we think Carr can get back into the 30+ touchdown seasons, like he did in 2015.


via USA Today

Deshaun Watson hasn't played a real football game since January 3, 2021 (2020 Season). He missed all of last year, and will miss the first 11 games of this Season. Mix that in with all of the legal, media, social media, and in person attention he has received for his off the field issues. There's just no way that, when Watson steps back onto the field, he returns to the ranks he once held, which was a top 5, maybe even top 3, quarterback in this League.

Watson has all of the tools to be great. There's no doubt about that. But we can't put him higher than the 12 spot based off of what he did a couple Seasons ago. If you've followed the Browns' training camp and preseason, Watson has looked rough. If he's able to drown out the noise, then maybe he can return to form, but that is quite a large "if." Instead, expect much of the same going forward, and honestly, don't be surprised if he doesn't quite rebound, and he continues to drop down our rankings.


via USA Today

Kirk Cousins gets a lot of flak, and criticizing him seems to be the "cool" thing to do. Well, we won't subdue to peer pressure, Captain Kirk is a damn good quarterback. He gets the job done, and does so at a hyper-efficient level. Look at the numbers, 4,221 yards, 33 touchdowns, and only 7 interceptions on 66.3% completion. He has a career rating of 98.6, and has been over 100 the last three years in a row. You could make a good argument for slotting him in at the 10th spot on this list, and he certainly will have the tools to cement that position this season.

Cousins is accurate, patient, durable, and smart. The only real knock on his game is his reluctancy to take risks. We think that has a slightly negative impact on his primetime/post season performances. However, in 2021 he was grossly let down by his defense and coaching staff, and in years prior, his offensive line was not up to snuff.

This year, look for Kirk to put together another 4,000+/30+/-9 season, and it finally translating to winning some big games for the Vikings.


via Jayne Kamin-Oncea / USA TODAY Sports

It took Matthew Stafford just one year away from the Lions to win a Super Bowl. He's a big time thrower with a cannon of an arm. Stafford knows how to pile on the yardage and won't shy away from taking a chance in a tight window. He can make a lot of the throws Patrick Mahomes gets praised for: side arms, no looks, wrist flicks, etc., and now he has the stage, coaching staff, and teammates to showcase his talents. He's put together a remarkable career, and seems to be entering the peak of his prime, before his accuracy wanes and he begins to drop off.

Where Stafford gets himself in trouble is with his tendency to throw interceptions, he led the League last year (despite throwing 41 touchdowns too), and he goes through spells where he's not overly efficient.


via NFL

Forget all of those crazy pundits and rankings that have Lamar Jackson outside of their top 10 lists. Lamar is 25 years old, already has an MVP under his belt, and countless other records. Watch the tape, his game is far greater than that of what his legs have to offer. He has a career completion percentage of 64.1%, almost 10,00 passing yards, and 84 touchdowns to just 31 interceptions in just 4 seasons. He's done all of this with no true great options at wide receiver. The Ravens have also been 37-12 under his guidance.

Lamar Jackson is great, and he's only going to get better. While we think he is so much more than a runner, if he continues to become a more refined passer, he will continue to climb up this list. Lastly, even if Lamar was only just a runner, like those who are uneducated claim, those rushing yards and touchdowns still count just the same as the passing ones. He's a franchise quarterback and worth every bit of this big deal him and the Ravens have yet to put ink to paper on.


via AtoZSports

Dak Prescott should get credit for keeping the Cowboys in the playoff conversation regularly. In just six Seasons, Dark has accumulated over 22,000 passing yards and completed 66.6% of his passes for 143 touchdowns and just 50 interceptions. He has a career quarterback rating of 98.7, and let's not forget his ability to scramble with 1,460 career rushing yards and 25 touchdowns.

Prescott has groomed himself into a prototypical modern day quarterback. He has a big arm, he's precise, he's mobile, but only when he has to be, and he does not commit many mistakes. I know Cowboys fans and the media would like to see him have greater success in the post season, but a lot of their shortcomings have fallen on coaching and the defense.


via the Denver Post

In a "down year," Russell Wilson had 3,113 yards, 25 touchdowns, and just 6 interceptions. We don't think his "down year" is the beginning of the end. Russ had an injured right middle finger on his throwing hand, which required pins, and he still managed to play better than most quarterbacks in the League. There's no denying Russ's greatness. His game has no true weakness.

The former Super Bowl Champion has a fresh look this Season, playing with an improved roster, but in a tougher division. No matter how the Broncos do this year, Wilson should have good numbers and continue to be the accurate, elusive, and deep-ball throwing magician he has always proven to be.


via AP Photo

Nobody had the Cincinnati Bengals going from 4-11-1 in 2020 to AFC Champions in 2021, not even Bengals fans. Well, maybe Joe Burrow did. That's how cool, calm, and confident he is.

After getting injured in his rookie season, it was tough to evaluate how good Burrow would be. Last year, he answered everyone's questions by posting a quarterback rating of 108.3, throwing for over 4,600 yards, completing over 70% of his passes for 34 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. He rose to every major occasion, and even kept his team hanging around in the Super Bowl despite his offensive line being pushed around like small children on the playground.

Burrow simply has "it." He has the mindset to be a legendary player, he has the toughness to hang in the pocket, he has the accuracy and deep ball to every throw on the field, and he has the athleticism to move the chains. We have no qualms with ranking him this high at only 25 years old, because we think the lid has just been opened on his career.


via Ashley Landis / AP Photo

We might catch some heat for having Justin Herbert ahead of Joe Burrow, but we just think Herbert has slightly more raw, untapped ability. He has one of the strongest arms in the League, he's huge, durable, and has really refined his game in the two years he's been in the League. It will be fun to watch him and Burrow be compared under a microscope, as they jockey back and forth for years to come, but right now, we have Justin Herbert with a slight edge.

Last Season, Herbert broke 5,000 passing yards, 38 passing touchdowns on nearly 66% completion percentage, with 15 interceptions. We think Herbert will continue to pile on the yardage and touchdowns as each year passes.


via Chris O'Meara / AP Photo

The GOAT. At 44 years old, and after 22 seasons, Tom Brady still led the League in passing yards (5,316) AND passing touchdowns (43). His resume speaks for itself. He's the undisputed greatest of all time. His mental abilities, decision making, and accuracy are still among the top of the League, even at his advanced age.

We can't put him much higher than the 4 spot given the fact that considering his age, lack of mobility, and arm strength (compared to the 3 above him, Brady still has great arm strength), we think he wouldn't have quite this much success on a less talented roster.


via Dan Powers/USA TODAY

Coming off of back to back MVPs is another "old" guy gracing our top 5. Aaron Rodgers is one of the most gifted quarterbacks we've ever seen. He has this unreal ability to fit the ball in the tightest windows, releasing the ball at the craziest angles, and he's found a way to have a mobility about him to frustrate defenses.

Rodgers has consistently put up the numbers, rarely turning the ball over, and leading his team to 12 win seasons with regularity, no matter who he has to throw the football to. Aaron simply puts the ball in receivers' hands, even if they are not open. He has disappointed in the post season more often than not, and it's been tough to diagnose why. He stops doing a lot of the things he does all season long: spreading the ball around to multiple targets, keeping this calmness about him, etc. For that, he fails to nab one of the top 2 spots on our list, but he'll go down as one of the most gifted to ever do it, even if he eventually hangs it up with only one Super Bowl on his resume.


via BillsWire / USA Today

Josh Allen blew up this past year, and going into this Season, he is the betting favorite for MVP, and his team is the betting favorite to win it all. Rightfully so. Allen can launch a football 80 yards, he can run through people, jump over people, and can score in the blink of an eye no matter if it's snowing, blowing hurricane-grade winds, raining, or in a dome.

Allen's game is wild. He's like a 2015 MVP Cam Newton, but with a glimpse of more upside. The Bills continue to build around him and take their offense to the next level. There's this feeling with Allen, that he's just broken the seal on what his prime will look like. He's a treat to watch, and by the end of this year will likely be interchangeable as 1A/1B with our top ranked QB of 20222.


via Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports

Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the League, and we'll go ahead and say it, the most talented quarterback of all time. This young man has 151 passing touchdowns, nearly 19,000 passing yards, and only 36 interceptions in the four years he has been a starter. He has a career quarterback rating of 105.8 and completion percentage over 66%.

Mahomes has led the Chiefs to a Super Bowl victory and FOUR STRAIGHT AFC Championships. He can make all the throws. Literally, he'll throw passes without looking, passes with his left hand, passes behind his back, passes on a rope 50 yards down field while his body is fully horizontal in the air. He can make all the regular throws better than anyone else too. He, also, can sling the pigskin 80+ yards and has great mobility.

At just 26 years old, Mahomes already feels like a Hall of Famer. Look for him to really showcase how good of a distributor and leader he is without Tyreek Hill. We already have gotten a taste of that this preseason. He can spread the ball around to all of the targets on the field. 2022 will be must watch TV with Mahomes, like any other year.

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