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Week 11 Picks

Week 11 is here! Here's who TRO is on this Week against the spread:

via Field Yates on Twitter

We had one of our worst weeks of the season, going 1-3 on our First Four Downs, and 3-6 from the Field, making a total Week 10 performance of 4-9. Stick with us as we look to bounce back this Week:


1st Down: Washington Football Team @ Carolina Panthers (-3.0)

via Associated Press

The Panthers played with an energy we've almost never seen before last Sunday following Cam Newton's return/them moving off of Sam Darnold. That game was on the road, across the country, against an 8-1 Cardinals team. Now, the Cats are back home in Charlotte, where Cam will make his return debut in front of the city that loves him so much. Take last weeks energy and double it.

2nd Down: Miami Dolphins (-3.5) @ New York Jets

via Lynne Sladky / Associated Press

Even if the Dolphins would have gotten blown out against Baltimore last week, they still appear to be a better football team than the Jets. Tua Tagovailoa should be healthier this week, giving the team some stability, while the Jets will be trotting out Joe Flacco. We like the Fins to pull out a 4+ point victory as they are just slightly ahead of where the Jets currently are.

3rd Down: Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.5) @ Los Angeles Chargers

via Mitchell Leff / Getty Images

Pittsburgh will come back a bit more energized after their embarrassing tie against the Lions. Big Ben should be returning to the field, and the Chargers have had trouble avoiding close games. This will be a tight game in primetime decided by less than the spread suggests.

4th Down: Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) @ Seattle Seahawks

via Billy Hardiman / USA TODAY Sports

Don't let the Cardinals' dud at home against the Panthers fool you. They're still one of the best football teams in the League, and still should beat Seattle even if Colt McCoy is under center. However, things are trending for Kyler Murray to return to action, and the Cardinals should bounce back against a reeling Seahawks team that is frankly playing demoralized football as of late.


Detroit Lions @ Cleveland Browns (-12.5)

The Browns need to come out and take care of business after getting embarrassed by New England. They need this game to keep their Season going, and to keep the critics at bay. The Lions might be without Jared Goff, and even if he plays, he will be a fraction of his healthy self. Browns by 14+.

San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

The Niners will stick to the formula that let them thump the Rams on Monday Night Football, and this will not be one of the Weeks that Jacksonville plays inspired football. San Fran by 7+.

Indianapolis Colts (+7.0) @ Buffalo Bills

This should be a solid game, which means it will likely be decided by less than 7 points. Indy has been playing very sound, complimentary football, and the Bills are the Bills. While Buffalo will probably pull out the win, the Colts will keep it close.

Baltimore Ravens @ Chicago Bears (+5.5)

We don't think that the Dolphins exposed the Ravens last week, but the Bears are capable of playing a similar styled game to that of which Miami played in Week 10. Baltimore will likely pull this one out, but Justin Fields has looked better each week, and the Bears defense (even with its injuries) can keep things tight.

New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

The Eagles have started to string together some competent play as of late. While the Saints looked better against the Titans than we expected, we think that the wheels are starting to fall off in New Orleans. If this game was in the Super Dome, we'd probably go the other way, but since it's a home game for Philadelphia, they'll squeak this one out by 3 or more.

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans (-10.0)

Tennessee will extend their win streak, winning by double digits, while playing an inferior division rival at home.

Green Bay Packers (-1.0) @ Minnesota Vikings

This will be a great game. The Vikings are capable of pulling out this win, and certainly need the game far more than the Packers do. However, anytime we can get Rodgers and this Green Bay defense with a 1.0 point line, we have to lean on the team that's made less mistakes this year.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Las Vegas Raiders (-1.0)

There are a lot of similarities between these two teams. They play a similar style of football, and they both are in desperate need of a win after trailing off following hot starts to the Season. In this situation, we like the home team, and the veteran experience of the Raiders.

Dallas Cowboys (+2.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs

This is a huge game. This could be a marquee victory for Dak Prescott's career, and this Cowboys football team. It's also a huge game for the Chiefs, looking to convince the League that they fully did turn their season back around. Expect a high scoring affair, but we think Dallas' defense will give them just one possession extra to squeak out a 3+ point victory.

New York Giants (+10.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa should certainly win after an embarrassing loss to the Football Team, but the Giants played this team tight last year when they were healthy. The Bucs might bet Rob Gronkowski back, but will still be without Antonio Brown, and will have the same holes in the secondary they had last week. The Giants are getting a bit healthier, getting some key offensive weapons back, and it will be just enough to cover the spread.

New England Patriots (-6.5) @ Atlanta Falcons


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