Check out what bets we believe in going into Week 2 of the NFL Season:
Week 1 has come and gone, and we are moments away from Thursday Night Football kicking off Week 2 of the NFL Season. TRO is here to bring you what bets we like the most (and are personally riding with actual money). Stick with us all season long as we track our record on the Green Zone, and try to come out better than we started.
Picks Against the Spread:
via Todd Rosenberg / Getty Images
1) Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) over the Minnesota Vikings
The Eagles should not have too difficult of a time pulling away from the Vikings by a touchdown or more. Minnesota showed us in their upset loss to the Buccaneers in Week 1 that their interior offensive line is problematic. Philadelphia's interior defensive line happens to be arguably their biggest strength. Look for Kirk Cousins to have a long day at the office due to a lack of time to throw the football, and it creating a large advantage for the Eagles.
2) Green Bay Packers (-1) over the Atlanta Falcons
The Packers are a much better version of the Falcons. Both teams have a good run game, with a rather conservative passing attack. However, Green Bay has a very stout defense, and we think Jordan Love is far more capable than Desmond Ridder. The Packers won't be scared to let Love throw the football around when necessary, where if Week 1 showed us anything, it's that the Falcons don't want to put anything more than they have to on Desmond Ridder's plate. This seems like a low spread for two teams that are not close together in talent or abilities.
3) Washington Commanders (+3.5) against the Denver Broncos
Expect this game to be much like these two teams' Week 1 games. A rather uninspired, ugly, low-scoring affair. We just don't see either team blowing out the other one, and we even think that Washington has a decent chance to pull out a victory if they can establish the ground game early. The extra 0.5 here is what enticed us to placing the bet, as this should be no more than a field goal game.
via Joe Sargent / Getty Images
1) T.J. Hockenson over 48.5 receiving yards vs Philadelphia Eagles
T.J. Hockenson is a target machine in this Minnesota offense. Last week, he might have only hit 35 yards, but he caught 8 passes. He's going to finish second in receptions on this team by the end of the season. If the Eagles defense has one weakness, it is coverage throughout the middle of the field. Not only will they be missing Nakobe Dean, but this defense also allowed Hunter Henry to put up 56 yards and a score in last week's matchup in New England. Expect Hockenson to get the ball often and in space, no matter the final outcome of the game.
2) C.J. Stroud over 12.5 rushing yards vs Indianapolis Colts
This might be our favorite one of the week. C.J. Stroud was able to pick up 20 yards on 4 attempts on the ground last week against a much stingier Baltimore defense, in a game where Houston only scored 9 points. Look on him to lean on his legs a bit more, as he gets caught up in a battle with fellow rookie quarterback, Anthony Richardson, who also will be taking matters into his own hands (or legs) early and often. Stroud should have no problem hitting this mark, even though he prefers to play from the pocket when possible.
3) Christian McCaffrey over 66.5 rushing yards over the Los Angeles Rams
Any time we see a CMC rushing total under 70 yards we take it. McCaffrey is coming fresh off of a monster performance against Pittsburgh defense where he toted the rock 22 times for 152 yards and a score. He had one rush for 65 yards alone. As long as he is healthy, you can bet on him to pile on the yards. Take this bet and don't blink.
Monday Night Football Double Header:
via Charlotte Observer
1) 6 point total teaser - (a) Carolina Panthers/New Orleans Saints UNDER 46 points; (b) Cleveland Browns/Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 45 points
Lastly, 4 teams that didn't put up a whole lot of offense in week 1. All 4 of these teams have decent to solid defenses. The Panthers are still dealing with rookie growing pains at quarterback and lack of receiver depth, the Saints have issues on their offensive line and are without Alvin Kamara, the Steelers typically don't score a ton of points, especially in an AFC North showdown, and Cleveland hasn't been that efficient through the air since signing Deshaun Watson. We teased the two totals to get a little more cushion, and would advise you to do the same.