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Week 6 Picks

Time to get Week 6 started! Here's who TRO likes against the spread:

via CardsWire / USA Today


Last week we had our best overall week against the spread, going 10-6, and hit .500 on the First Four Downs. On the season, we're sitting at 41-39 Overall (10-10 First Four Downs and 31-29 in the Field). Find out below who we like for Week 6 as we look to continue to build on this momentum.


TRO'S FIRST FOUR DOWNS:


1st Down: Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) @ Washington Football Team

via UGAWire / USA Today


The last time the Chiefs were desperate for a win and faced an inferior NFC East team, they delivered in a huge way. Expect much of the same in Week 6. Washington's defense has not been anywhere near what it was hyped up to be, and its secondary has been especially bad. That is not a good combination when facing Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs' air raid offense. Taylor Heinicke is scrappy, but not scrappy enough to scare Kansas City's sub par defense like Josh Allen did. The Chiefs will take advantage and win by 10+.


2nd Down: Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) @ Detroit Lions

via the Athletic


We feel bad for Dan Campbell and the Lions. They are playing hard, and are just coming up short in more disappointing ways each week. Unfortunately for them, this isn't your dad's Cincinnati Bengals team. This is a true playoff threat, and they are playing complete and complimentary football. Joe Burrow and this receiving corp will take advantage of this porous secondary, winning by at least 4.


3rd Down: Buffalo Bills (-5.5) @ Tennessee Titans

via Jamie Squire / Getty Images


The Bills are absolutely red hot, Josh Allen has been unstoppable, and their defense has delivered consistently. This Titans team is a Jekyll and Hyde team (see loss to the Jets), whose inconsistencies will put them in a hole that Derrick Henry won't be able to run them out of. Buffalo should win by a touchdown, continuing their dominance of the AFC.


4th Down: Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens (-3.0)

via Gregory Bull / Buffalo News


The Chargers and Ravens feature two of the most fund quarterbacks to watch in the League. Baltimore has had to deal with some cold spells, where they have had to dig themselves out of holes. We like Los Angeles' consistency and Justin Herbert's even keeled demeanor to lead them over the Ravens on the road. It is also worth noting that Lamar Jackson picked up an illness sometime this week that places his status for the game in doubt.


THE FIELD:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7.0) @ Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles struggled offensively for most all of the game in Carolina last week. Luckily for them Carolina's offense (and special teams) was worse. Tampa Bay won't make the same mistakes or let off the gas pedal once they get a lead.


Minnesota Vikings (-2.0) @ Carolina Panthers

This should be one of the closest matchups of the week and a defensive battle. We like the home team to bounce back where its offense will make just enough plays against a thin secondary.


Los Angeles Rams (-9.5) @ New York Giants

The Giants would already be very under-matched in this game if they were 100% healthy. No Saquon Barkley, and potentially no Daniel Jones. If he does play he won't be his usual self. The Rams should run away with this one.


Green Bay Packers (-5.0) @ Chicago Bears

Soldier Field combined with a Bears team with a little bit of swagger now that they've won back to back with Justin Fields under center. They'll have their hands full with Aaron Rodgers and company, and while we like the Packers to win, we think it will be by 3, falling short of a cover.


Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos (-3.5)

Denver's coming off of an ugly loss, and oh yeah, Las Vegas's head coach was forced to resign unexpectedly at the beginning of the week. There's too much going on in the Raiders' organization for the distraction not to weigh heavy against a stout Broncos team in Denver looking to recoup from Week 5.


Miami Dolphins (-3.0) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Both of these teams are on losing streaks, Jacksonville's happens to be 20 games. The Jags are bound to win a game soon, and we think this is the perfect opportunity for them to do so.


Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts (-10.0)

Betting the Texans is impossible. One week they look like who we thought they'd be, and then the next they're scrapping out competitive games. Davis Mills has strung together some competent football from time to time, and appears to grow each week. We like them to cover in another loss.


Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) @ Cleveland Browns

This game should be loads of fun. Two former Oklahoma University, Heisman winning, number one overall draft selection quarterbacks dueling it out in the Dog Pound. We like the Browns as home underdogs, especially after clicking so well offensively last week. Their defense will clean it up a bit and hand Arizona their first loss.


Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) @ New England Patriots

We like Dallas's offense here too much for them not to win by at least 4 - 7 points in New England. Their defense has been exceeding expectations and will make a splash play or 2 on Mac Jones, giving Dallas the edge they need to cover.


Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.0)

The Steelers defense will be far too much for Geno Smith to handle, and the Seahawks' lack of a pass rush will let Big Ben and Najee Harris put up a similar performance to last week's victory, winning by 7+ points.


Come back next Wednesday for Week 7's picks!

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