Time to get Week 7 started! Here's who TRO is taking against the spread this week:
via Paul Sancya / AP Photo
Last week we had an average week on our First Four Downs (2-2) and didn't do too hot from the Field. It was a tough week, pulling our overall record 2 games below .500 on the season. We like our chances this week to bounce back and get back on the good side of that even mark. Check out below who we're putting our money on this week:
TRO'S FIRST FOUR DOWNS:
1st Down: Indianapolis Colts @ San Francisco 49ers (-4.0)
via TouchdownWire / USA Today
We like the Colts to keep the game close in San Francisco. The Niners are a little beat up, and Indianapolis is starting to hit its stride on both sides of the football. Carson Wentz is coming off of his most efficient performance in a long time, and the defense is starting to gel again. The Colts might not win, but they won't lose by more than 3.
2nd Down: Carolina Panhters (-3.0) @ New York Giants
via Douglas DeFelice / USA Today
The Panthers have let us down the past couple of weeks, but we are sticking with them again. They were a play or 2 away from covering each of the last 2 weeks. We think this week they return back to form. It's too good of a matchup, their defense is too stout for Daniel Jones, and their apparent focus shift towards running the football more will pay off greatly. Look for the Panthers to leave MetLife Stadium with a 7+ point victory.
3rd Down: Washington Football Team @ Green Bay Packers (-7.5)
via PackersWire / USA Today
Washington has not been good against the spread when facing good teams, and the Packers are a good team. Their secondary is talented enough to steal a possession or 2 from Taylor Heinicke, and we all can imagine what Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, and Aaron Jones will likely do to this disappointing Football Team defense. Packers will impress at home winning by 2 scores.
4th Down: New Orleans Saints (-4.5) @ Seattle Seahawks
via Justin K. Aller / Getty Images
The Seahawks honestly looked impressive on the road in Pittsburgh on both sides of the ball. They found a new identity in establishing the run, and Geno Smith did not look half bad by any means. Vegas wants everyone to overreact to Russell Wilson's absence, but the Geno Smith led Seahakws are good enough to win at home. If they don't win, they will at least keep the game under 4 points.
Denver Broncos @ Cleveland Browns (-1.5)
Cleveland has far too many injuries, a lot of which came up late in the week. Playing on Thursday night only amplifies the lack of preparation a lot of these guys will have had, regardless if it's second team guys getting first team reps, or first team guys returning late. Denver has come off of a couple of disappointing losses in a row, look for them to string it together as the better prepared team.
Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) @ Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins gave the Jaguars their first win in 20 games. Vegas wants us to think that means the Dolphins are worse than the Falcons, but we can't have short term memory. Atlanta has been equally as bad. What the Dolphins have going for them is a better defense, and the fact that Tua Tagovailoa looked decent in his first game back from injury. He'll build on that performance this week in front of his home crowd, getting a much needed win.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-6.5)
The Ravens are one of the best teams in the League, but the Bengals are scrappy. Cincinnati has pieces all over the field on both sides of the ball, and Joe Burrow is a gamer. There's no way this division showdown will be decided by more than 3 or 4 points. There is too much on the line. The Bengals will cover the spread.
New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-7.0)
Bill Belichick had his guys feasting on the Jets in Week 2. Since then, Mac Jones has looked more comfortable, and the Patriots have looked far more competitive against better competition. We like them at home to stick it to the Jets one more time, winning by 10+.
Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5) @ Tennessee Titans
The Titans showed the World that they are a tough squad, and Derrick Henry is capable of carrying his team to beat a superior opponent. The fact that the Chiefs defense is as unimpressive as it is leads us to believe that the Titans will get enough going to at least keep this game within 4 points or less.
Detroit Lions @ Los Angeles Rams (-16.0)
The Jared Goff revenge game. We obviously don't see the Lions winning, but we like Detroit to keep this game under a 16 point differential, even if it comes at the hands of a back door cover.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Las Vegas Raiders (-3.0)
The Raiders look unfazed by the Jon Gruden drama, and played exactly how they have most of the year. They have more pieces on both sides of the ball, and the fact that this is at home is huge for them. We think they will pull out a 4 to 7 point victory.
Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-12.5)
The Bears have enough good defensive line play to disturb Tom Brady with pressure up the middle (just a little bit). A little bit is all that will be needed to keep this game under 12.5 points. Tampa should win this one, but by no more than 10 points or so.
Houston Texans @ Arizona Cardinals (-17.5)
17.5 points is a TON of points for an NFL matchup, even if it is between the team with the best record in the League against the team with one of the worst records in the League. This is a trap game for Arizona (in terms of the spread, they will have no trouble winning the game). Tyrod Taylor won't be back this week, but the Texans should still keep this thing within 14 points.